Like other prediction markets, Kalshi lets users make trades based on a variety of different subjects and events. For example, you could participate in a market focused on the results of a basketball game, or something more unusual, like who'll win the current season of Survivor. Despite resembling gambling, online predictive markets aren't currently regulated by state gambling laws, and instead classify bets as a type of futures contract, placing them under the purview of the CFTC. That hasn't stopped states from trying to regulate prediction markets anyway. For example, Nevada sued Kalshi for operating a sports gambling market without a permit earlier in February.
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Every additional bureaucratic hurdle reduces diversity in the software ecosystem and concentrates power in the hands of large established players who can more easily absorb such compliance costs.
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Sasha Baker, head of national security policy at OpenAI, and Katrina Mulligan, who leads national security for OpenAI for Government, also spoke at the OpenAI all-hands, according to the source. One of those officials said the relationship between Anthropic and the government had broken down because Anthropic cofounder and CEO Dario Amodei had offended Department of War leadership, including publishing blog posts that “the department got upset about.”